The committee has always dropped us a spot or so from our RPI.

I would have said the same thing except that last year we actually got a boost above where our RPI indicated... with an RPI of 48 we got the 7/10 game...

I don't think we'll see THAT favorable, but am hoping for a something better than our probably low to mid 60's RPI would indicate (which would probably indicate a 13 if straight RPI were used...) I do think 12 is close, but I don't think it's a "drop" from where our RPI indicates... If we expect a drop from where our RPI indicates than maybe 14 isn't the floor as I thought it was.